Thursday, July 30, 2015

article Why The Online Dating Business Is Going To Be Much Bigger Than Anyone Expects


http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/15/07/5715430/why-the-online-dating-business-is-going-to-be-much-bigger-tha?


The Online Dating Industry needs Innovations, but the innovations the Online Dating Industry needs will come from only one source: the latest discoveries in theories of romantic relationships development with commitment. 


Only 3 major discoveries can help to revolutionize the online dating industry.


I) Several studies showing contraceptive pills users make different mate choices, on average, compared to non-users. "Only short-term but not long-term partner preferences tend to vary with the menstrual cycle"
II) People often report partner preferences that are not compatible with their choices in real life. (Behavioural recommender systems  or other system that learns your preferences are useless)
III) What is important in attracting people to one another may not be important in making couples happy. 


Compatibility is all about a high level on personality similarity between prospective mates for long term mating with commitment. 


The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "100 times better improvement", not 100% better, 100X better == a big INNOVATION.

The Online Dating Industry needs a very powerful algorithm like the "Teller Ulam design". 

In this case 100 times more powerful than actual matching algorithms.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/05/lifeproject-method-versus-eharmony.html

MeetMe's (MEET) CEO on Q2 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript


via Seeking Alpha
http://seekingalpha.com/article/3377685-meetmes-meet-ceo-geoffrey-cook-on-q2-2015-results-earnings-call-transcript?part=single
also another article
http://seekingalpha.com/article/3377495-meetme-introduces-its-turn-around?

MeetMe Reports Second Quarter 2015 Financial Results
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/meetme-reports-second-quarter-2015.html


Some info to compare with IAC (IACI)
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/tinder-revenue-revealed.html

Acquisition cost from dating applications:
http://globaldatinginsights.com/28072015-what-is-the-cost-of-acquiring-dating-app-users-in-2015/

MeetMe Reports Second Quarter 2015 Financial Results


http://seekingalpha.com/pr/14253365-meetme-reports-second-quarter-2015-financial-results


my bet: MeetMe (MEET) is in its peak and soon it will decay.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/05/meetme-q1-2015-financials.html
MeetMe can not innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.
Perhaps it WILL RUN OUT OF MONEY SOON, IT WILL COLLAPSE.

Same road as Zoosk (ZSK)



Please see: MeetMe CTO resigned

http://seekingalpha.com/news/2550216-meetme-cto-friedman-resigns
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/05/meetme-cto-resigned.html

Main reason to sell is decadence of the site, not his daughter

He wants to run away with the money

http://www.businessreviewusa.com/leadership/5061/Discover-business-success-tips-from-Plentyoffish-founder

 Please IACI do not acquire POF, do not waste the money from your investors!
Let POF be destroyed by Tinder, let POF evaporate in thin air.

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/pof.com
https://siteanalytics.compete.com/pof.com/
http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/plentyoffish.com
https://siteanalytics.compete.com/plentyoffish.com/
http://www.similarweb.com/website/pof.com
http://www.similarweb.com/website/plentyoffish.com

Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Tinder Revenue revealed?

From 

http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/IACI/0x0x841592/771A332A-7284-41D1-8BA4-45FAC80D7C9F/Grids_and_Metrics_Q2_2015.pdf

and

http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/IACI/0x0x841596/EA812EB6-B798-466D-B5B8-B5D66FA0D6C1/IAC_Reports_Q2_2015.pdf

My bet: 500,000 new paid subscribers are from Tinder at ARPU USD20, that is only a contribution of USD10Million from Tinder.

Please see also:
Article at SA: IAC/InterActiveCorp Management Discusses Q1 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/04/article-at-sa-iacinteractivecorp.html

IAC Reports Q2 2015 Results
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/iac-reports-q2-2015-results.html


IAC/InterActiveCorp's (IACI) Q2 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript



http://seekingalpha.com/article/3370615-iac-interactivecorps-iaci-ceo-joey-levin-on-q2-2015-results-earnings-call-transcript?part=single

IAC Reports Q2 2015 Results
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/iac-reports-q2-2015-results.html


PlentyOfFish is past its prime and of course in decadence.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/plentyoffish-pof-agreed-to-pay-fine.html





IAC Reports Q2 2015 Results

IAC Reports Q2 2015 Results at Seeking Alpha

Please see notes from IAC
For me, Tinder will not monetize as expected.
See as sample, acquisition cost from dating applications:

and

Just to inform investors and prospective investors The Match Group is only a collection of obsolete online dating sites in decadence, no one of them are going to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.
Match, Chemistry, Meetic, OkCupid and others are all past their prime.
PlentyOfFish is also old and obsolete site.
The success The Match Group pretends to show investors, is illusory.

A graphic showing the decadence of POF (PlentyOfFish) since 2013

Article at SA: IAC/InterActiveCorp Management Discusses Q1 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript



Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry! 


With less than USD10 Million you can copycat eHarmony 
or
 innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry, killing those old & obsolete sites forever. 





Saturday, July 25, 2015

PlentyOfFish, POF agreed to pay the fine after Canadian CRTC alleged emails sent to members

POF agreed to pay the fine after the CRTC alleged emails sent to members of the dating service did not feature a proper unsubscribe button.

Ottawa’s spam-reporting centre had received a total of 255,000 complaints when the CRTC announced in March that POF would pay $48,000 over allegations it had violated Canada’s Anti-Spam Legislation (CASL).


about the article "Online Dating Site PlentyOfFish Fined For Spam By Canada"

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/03/about-article-online-dating-site.html


PlentyOfFish is past its prime and of course in decadence.



The market share of PlentyOfFish by revenue is less than 5% in the Online Dating Industry.
http://bit.ly/1VqAhxl
http://on.wsj.com/1VqAh0r
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/a-graphic-showing-decadence-of-pof.html
The Match Group had been doing all wrong, acquiring rotten companies to show illusory success to its investors.
They Match Group is only a collection of old and obsolete online dating sites: Match, Meetic, Chemistry, OkCupid, FriendScout24, OurTime, HowAboutWe and many more. Even Tinder will not monetize as expected.
The Match Group is not going to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry in the next years.
Perhaps Diller can die soon due to lung cancer and the IAC can collapse because he is like a Godfather.


AshleyMadison Hackers Release Info of 2 Men Who Paid to Erase Their Profile






Please see:
Mashable article says AshleyMadison should close forever.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/mashable-article-says-ashleymadison.html

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Scam Survivors to Present at the 42nd iDate Dating Industry Conference in London ?

http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=198845


The biggest scammers are not from Ghana or Nigeria. They are precisely marketing executives from big sites. They use credit card billing trickery.
Lack Of Innovation & Decadence can summarize the Online Dating Industry for years.

 
 Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry! 
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-8-tips-to-innovate-in-online-dating.html

The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "100 times better improvement", not 100% better, 100X better == a big INNOVATION.

What I "learned" at iDate 2015 Superconference
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/01/what-i-learned-at-idate-2015.html
THEY DO NOT WANT TO INNOVATE. Only that.
 

YY Inc. Receives USD68.50 Buyout Offer from Insiders


http://secfilings.com/News.aspx?title=yy_inc._receives_$68.50_buyout_offer_from_insiders&naid=1096

http://secfilings.com/searchresultswide.aspx?TabIndex=2&FilingID=10814377&companyid=891344&ppu=%252fdefault.aspx%253fname%253dYy%252bInc.%2526amp%253bauth%253d1

Please see:
YY Reports First Quarter 2015 Unaudited Financial Results
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/05/yy-reports-first-quarter-2015-unaudited.html

Forbes article: Jiayuan Committed to Buyout, As Investor Doubts Persist
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/forbes-article-jiayuan-committed-to.html



iDate China 2015, Online dating websites facing tougher regulation
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/05/idate-china-2015-online-dating-websites.html



Clover Raises USD2M In Funding To Expand On-Demand Dating Business ???

Will be stupid investors series.

Another Tinder Clone: Courtem / Stupid Investors' series
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/02/another-tinder-clone-courtem-stupid.html

BIG HOAX from Genetic Matchmaking


How one coder used 23andMe to create a race wall around the web
http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2015-07/22/23andme-api-blocks-based-on-race-gender

Meet The Startup That Wants To Calculate Your Romantic Chemistry Through Genetics
http://www.forbes.com/sites/mzhang/2015/07/23/instant-chemistry-wants-to-calculate-your-relationship-compatibility-through-genetics/
http://www.forbes.com/sites/mzhang/2015/07/23/instant-chemistry-wants-to-calculate-your-relationship-compatibility-through-genetics/2/

The proposal is a HOAX, a big FRAUD in the Online Dating Industry.

 HOAX ALERT The Genetics of Love: Designing the perfect match through DNA
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/04/hoax-alert-genetics-of-love-designing.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/07/more-about-dna-matching-instant.html
Please remember personality = temperament + character
Personality is composed of two basic types of traits:
traits that an individual acquires, dimensions of character;
and
traits with biological underpinnings, dimensions of temperament (Cloninger 1987)
The key to long-lasting romance is STRICT PERSONALITY SIMILARITY


http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2014/07/executive-interview-jana-bayad-ceo-of.html


See also my reviews of: Basisnote (2009), GenePartner (2008), ScientificMatch (2011)
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2011/09/basisnote-genepartner-scientificmatch.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/09/about-instant-chemistry-canadian-based.html
 

Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry!
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-8-tips-to-innovate-in-online-dating.html

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

article at SA "'PlentyOfFish' Acquisition Bolsters InterActiveCorp's Dating App Dominance"

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3342985-plentyoffish-acquisition-bolsters-interactivecorps-dating-app-dominance

PlentyOfFish is past its prime and of course in decadence.



The market share of PlentyOfFish by revenue is less than 5% in the Online Dating Industry.
http://bit.ly/1VqAhxl
http://on.wsj.com/1VqAh0r
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/a-graphic-showing-decadence-of-pof.html
The Match Group had been doing all wrong, acquiring rotten companies to show illusory success to its investors.
They Match Group is only a collection of old and obsolete online dating sites: Match, Meetic, Chemistry, OkCupid, FriendScout24, OurTime, HowAboutWe and many more. Even Tinder will not monetize as expected.
The Match Group is not going to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry in the next years.
Perhaps Diller can die soon due to lung cancer and the IAC can collapse because he is like a Godfather.

Proven Losers from Rocket Internet, not winners.


AB Kinnevik: Interim Report 1 January - 30 June 2015




"Rocket Internet continued to launch new business models, announced high growth and improving profitability in its "Proven Winners" companies" ???

Rocket Internet shares fall nearly 12% after bond sale

via Financial Times

all the domino should fall ...  when they run out of money!

Mashable article says AshleyMadison should close forever.

AshleyMadison is so screwed. Here's why
http://mashable.com/2015/07/20/ashleymadison-is-fucked/

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/after-aff-now-comes-ashleymadison.html

I agree, the FBI should close AshleyMadison forever.

Please see also:
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/05/article-ashley-madison-is-infidelity.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/11/2-tips-about-ashley-madisons-ashleys.html

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Massive study: Birth order has no meaningful effect on personality or IQ.


http://news.illinois.edu/news/15/0716birth_order_brentroberts.html

University of Illinois psychology professor Brent Roberts and postdoctoral researcher Rodica Damian conducted the largest study yet of birth order and personality. They found no meaningful relationship between birth order and personality or IQ.


PAPER: The associations of birth order with personality and intelligence in a representative sample of U.S. high school students.

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0092656615000525

Please see also:
Birth order does not have enduring effects on personality!
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/11/birth-order-does-not-have-enduring.html






Saturday, July 18, 2015

PAPER ... Toward Context-Aware Social Matching Systems

PAPER Identifying Opportunities for Valuable Encounters: Toward Context-Aware Social Matching Systems
http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=2751557

PAPER Making Social Matching Context-Aware - Design Concepts and Open Challenges

https://web.njit.edu/~jam45/docs/Mayer_CHI2015_Making%20Social%20Matching%20Context-Aware.pdf
Social matching systems aim at supporting the creation of new social ties by recommending people to people. While social matching is often considered to be synonymous with online dating (Match, OKCupid, eHarmony, etc.), it also supports a broader range of social needs, such as professional networking (e.g., LinkedIn people recommendations) or the formation of new friendships through mobile people discovery apps (e.g., Highlight, MeetMe).


Personality Based Recommender Systems are the next generation of recommender systems because they perform far better than Behavioural ones (past actions and pattern of personal preferences).

If you want to be first in the "personalization arena" == Personality Based Recommender Systems, you should understand the ............ Online Dating Industry first of all!  

http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/04/paper-evaluation-of-similarity-functions.html

ONLY ONE ROAD TO ACHIEVE INNOVATIONS  
The Online Dating Industry needs Innovations, but the innovations the Online Dating Industry needs will come from only one source: the latest discoveries in theories of romantic relationships development with commitment. 


Only 3 major discoveries can help to revolutionize the online dating industry.


I) Several studies showing contraceptive pills users make different mate choices, on average, compared to non-users. "Only short-term but not long-term partner preferences tend to vary with the menstrual cycle"
II) People often report partner preferences that are not compatible with their choices in real life. (Behavioural recommender systems  or other system that learns your preferences are useless)
III) What is important in attracting people to one another may not be important in making couples happy. 


Compatibility is all about a high level on personality similarity between prospective mates for long term mating with commitment. 

Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry! 
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-8-tips-to-innovate-in-online-dating.html


Friday, July 17, 2015

Alert For Internet Dating Marketers: FTC Disclosure Guidelines Update /// via OPW


http://www.onlinepersonalswatch.com/news/2015/07/alert-for-internet-dating-marketers-ftc-disclosure-guidelines-update.html


USA FTC is investigating some online dating sites based or operating within the US for overpromises or FRAUD.

Promoting themselves as Scientifically Proven, Scientifically Based, etc,  and ... ... They have no proof.
Do not surprise if sites like eHarmony and EliteSingles are fined soon.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/usa-ftc-to-investigate-affinitas-gmbh_1.html
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/08/new-legislation-for-online-dating-sites.html


also:
USA FTC Chief Technologist Ashkan Soltani On Algorithmic Transparency And The Fight Against Biased Bots

New Book on Love and Online Dating

USA Fraud Agency Call On Dating Industry To Improve Fight Against Scammers (via GDI)


The Online Dating Industry is selling elixirs, tonics, snake oil liniments and other patent medicine and performing like the Pharmaceutical and Cosmetic Industry before the USA Food and Drug Administration was created where any player can make any claim without any credentials. I live in a South American country and I am really astonished to see how online daters in "1st World" countries are really victims of human experimentation. No actual online dating site  is "scientifically proven" because no one can prove its matching algorithm can match prospective partners who will have more stable and satisfying relationships -and very low divorce rates- than couples matched by chance, astrological destiny, personal preferences, searching on one's own, or other technique as the control group in a peer reviewed Scientific Paper for the majority (over 90%) of its members.    

Thursday, July 16, 2015

some fresh data from USA Online Dating Sites










The biggest scammers are not from Ghana or Nigeria. They are precisely marketing executives from big sites. They use credit card billing trickery.
Lack Of Innovation & Decadence can summarize the Online Dating Industry for years.
 
 Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry! 
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-8-tips-to-innovate-in-online-dating.html

The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "100 times better improvement", not 100% better, 100X better == a big INNOVATION.

Rocket Internet shares fall nearly 12% after bond sale

via Financial Times

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/653f4d34-2a41-11e5-8613-e7aedbb7bdb7.html

all the domino should fall ...  when they run out of money!






Proven Losers from Rocket Internet SE 2014

The key is in the very complicated interlace of "Jade xxxx GmbH." and "Brilliant xxxx GmbH." companies.

For me it seems only a big Ponzi scheme, a big bubble full of dark smoke. I suspect no one of those companies are designed to be profitable ever. They have big losses because they sell below cost to gain traction. All cloned companies seem like bubbles.

All European countries fit in Brazil, Russia, Africa or Australia, 
If you want to replicate a big success in Brazil, it will be as hard as the same to replicate it in all European countries, but in this case with 1/8 of population and the majority of the persons DO NOT own or WILL NOT use a credit/debit card to buy online! They will prefer to research online and then buy offline.
Many if not most, USA, Canada or European businesses models are unfeasible in Latin American countries! Perhaps the same situation for Africa, Russia or even Australia.(transportation costs could be 10 times bigger than Europe)

A man has dramatically admitted he murdered his new girlfriend after they met on "Plenty of Fish"

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/karen-catherall-murder-man-admits-4843389
----------------------------------------------------------


Can anyone investigate about all the women killed at PlentyOfFish? What really happened?
a comment there:
Fish Killer Says:
April 30, 2010 at 10:30 am | Reply
Hey Marcus what are you doing about the serial killer on your fish site that has been killing women. How is it that its not all over the place yet. .....

A graphic showing the decadence of POF (PlentyOfFish) since 2013


http://www.google.com/trends/explore?hl=en-US#q=tinder,+match.com,+plentyoffish,+zoosk,+pof,+internet+dating&cmpt=q



Please IACI do not acquire POF, do not waste the money from your investors!
Let POF be destroyed by Tinder, let POF evaporate in thin air.


RESEARCH Online Courtship: Interpersonal Interactions Across Borders


http://networkcultures.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/TOD16-OC.pdf

Introduction

The Pre-History of Print and Online Dating, c. 1690-1990

Dating Maps: Mapping Love in Online Dating Communities 

Old and New Methods for Online Research: The Case of Online Dating 

The Virtual Nightclub: Adolescents from Low-Income Sectors Search for Their Couples through Facebook 

'Dating' or 'Escaping'? Cuban Profiles in Dating Websites 

Self-presentation in the Portuguese Online Dating Scene:
Does Gender Matter? 

Liberalism Conquering Love: Reports and Reflections
on Mass Romantic and Consumption in the Internet Age 

The Advertising and Profit Model of Leading Dating Sites in China: A Comparison of Jianyuan, Baihe and Zhenai’s Targeting and Advertising 

Remediating the Matchmaker:
Arranging Marriage Online in the South Asian Diaspora in America 

From Arranged to Online: A Study of Courtship Culture in India 

The Role of Places and Symbols: A Cultural Interpretation of the On-line Dating Experience in Israel 

Stranger Stranger or Lonely Lonely? Young Chinese and Dating Apps Between the Locational, the Mobile and the Social 

What Are The Shengv Looking for in Online Heterosexual Dating and Courtship? A Content Analysis of Shanghainese Women’s Personal Profiles on Jiayuan

Keeping it Unreal - Online Dating with Chinese Characteristics 

Talking To Strangers: Temporality, Identity and Politics
in Live Webcam Sex Channels 

Performative Acts of Gender in Online Dating:
An Auto-ethnography Comparing Sites 

Media’s Effect on Online Dating Practices:
Turkish TV Marriage Programs and Online Dating as a Medium




Please read: The 8 tips to innovate in the Online Dating Industry! 
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2013/12/the-8-tips-to-innovate-in-online-dating.html

The Online Dating Industry does not need a 10% improvement, a 50% improvement or a 100% improvement. It does need "100 times better improvement", not 100% better, 100X better == a big INNOVATION.

Wednesday, July 15, 2015

article The Problem with PlentyOfFish’s Acquisition and What That Means for Dating Startups

article The Problem with PlentyOfFish’s Acquisition and What That Means for Dating Startups
http://tech.co/plentyoffish-acquired-dafuq-2015-07

The IAC (nasdaq IACI) had been doing all wrong, acquiring rotten companies instead of innovating.
I hope the deal will fail due to regulatory issues in Canada.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/canadian-regulatory-authorities-should.html

Please see: Moody's says IAC/InterActiveCorp's plan to acquire online dating site PlentyofFish has no impact on ratings.
http://onlinedatingsoundbarrier.blogspot.com.ar/2015/07/moodys-says-iacinteractivecorps-plan-to.html

Moody's says IAC/InterActiveCorp's plan to acquire POF

Announcement: Moody's says IAC/InterActiveCorp's plan to acquire online dating site PlentyofFish has no impact on ratings



I agree, The Match Group is only a collection of obsolete online dating sites in decadence, no one of them are going to innovate and revolutionize the Online Dating Industry.
Match, Chemistry, Meetic, OkCupid and others are all past their prime.
PlentyOfFish is also old and obsolete site.
The success The Match Group pretends to show investors, is illusory.